AndrewGombas

Ferreira: This seems like another over-inflated line, which has become a common theme in the last few months. Rebecki’s UFC wins are Roberts (4 fight losing streak), Radzhabov (decent win) and Fiore (0-2 in UFC). CDF has been fighting killers. He is coming off of a win over Michael Johnson. His losses prior to the Johnson fight were against Gamrot, Gregor Gillespie, and Beneil Dariush. None of them looked -400 against him. Ferreira is getting up there in age, but he has a big reach advantage here. He also has very good BJJ and I can’t see Rebecki controlling him for long periods of time. This is lined like a fight that is a foregone conclusion, and I don’t see it that way.

Cortes-Acosta: We have no idea what Despaigne’s grappling or cardio looks like. He has only had 1 MMA fight leave the first 30 seconds of the 1st round and he didn’t exactly look great. He is also 35 years old with limited MMA experience. He is bigger than Acosta and has finishing upside early, but Acosta is 4-1 in the UFC. We know he can actually fight real UFC guys for 3 rounds. I don’t know how you get to this price for Despaigne.

Aldrich: I think Aldrich should be a slight favorite, not a slight dog. Hardy was the underdog to Horth and Juliana Miller. Now she is the favorite against JJ Aldrich. Aldrich is 9-5 in the UFC and for the most part wins fights when she steps down in competition. She has losses to Blanchfield, Maycee Barber, and a couple others, but she typically wins fights like this one. Examples are Montana De La Rosa, Gillian Robertson, and Vanessa Demopoulos. My concerns with her are that she isn’t very athletic and doesn’t separate much in her fights. That being said, I think She has a >50% chance to win this fight. I trust her cardio more and like her strength of schedule.

Goff: Waters is physically gifted and I think he’s pretty good if you give him a boxing match at range. I dont think he likes pressure and guys that can get inside on him and force a fight. That’s exactly what Goff will do. Goff is a dog and throws himself into the fire. I think his pressure/pace will pay dividends here if he’s able to avoid an early KO.

Hooper: The winner of this fight is probably going to look like a big favorite in hindsight. Hooper is a poor striker and Borschev is a poor grappler. Hooper’s takedowns aren’t the best, but I don’t think they have to be here. He will sell out to create scrambles and when he gets on top of Borschev, it will likely spell trouble. Obviously, Borschev can do serious damage on the feet, but Hooper is tough and durable. I like him to get the grappling going.

Ferreira: This seems like another over-inflated line, which has become a common theme in the last few months. Rebecki’s UFC wins are Roberts (4 fight losing streak), Radzhabov (decent win) and Fiore (0-2 in UFC). CDF has been fighting killers. He is coming off of a win over Michael Johnson. His losses prior to the Johnson fight were against Gamrot, Gregor Gillespie, and Beneil Dariush. None of them looked -400 against him. Ferreira is getting up there in age, but he has a big reach advantage here. He also has very good BJJ and I can’t see Rebecki controlling him for long periods of time. This is lined like a fight that is a foregone conclusion, and I don’t see it that way.

Cortes-Acosta: We have no idea what Despaigne’s grappling or cardio looks like. He has only had 1 MMA fight leave the first 30 seconds of the 1st round and he didn’t exactly look great. He is also 35 years old with limited MMA experience. He is bigger than Acosta and has finishing upside early, but Acosta is 4-1 in the UFC. We know he can actually fight real UFC guys for 3 rounds. I don’t know how you get to this price for Despaigne.

Aldrich: I think Aldrich should be a slight favorite, not a slight dog. Hardy was the underdog to Horth and Juliana Miller. Now she is the favorite against JJ Aldrich. Aldrich is 9-5 in the UFC and for the most part wins fights when she steps down in competition. She has losses to Blanchfield, Maycee Barber, and a couple others, but she typically wins fights like this one. Examples are Montana De La Rosa, Gillian Robertson, and Vanessa Demopoulos. My concerns with her are that she isn’t very athletic and doesn’t separate much in her fights. That being said, I think She has a >50% chance to win this fight. I trust her cardio more and like her strength of schedule.

Goff: Waters is physically gifted and I think he’s pretty good if you give him a boxing match at range. I dont think he likes pressure and guys that can get inside on him and force a fight. That’s exactly what Goff will do. Goff is a dog and throws himself into the fire. I think his pressure/pace will pay dividends here if he’s able to avoid an early KO.

Hooper: The winner of this fight is probably going to look like a big favorite in hindsight. Hooper is a poor striker and Borschev is a poor grappler. Hooper’s takedowns aren’t the best, but I don’t think they have to be here. He will sell out to create scrambles and when he gets on top of Borschev, it will likely spell trouble. Obviously, Borschev can do serious damage on the feet, but Hooper is tough and durable. I like him to get the grappling going.